WASHINGTON, Oct. 17 (Xinhua) -- The winner of the 2008 Nobel Prize for economics said the United States is plunging into a "nasty recession" with a "lot of suffering" to come, The Bloomberg News reported on Friday.

    "That's baked in," Princeton University professor and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman was quoted as saying, noting "There is a lot of downward momentum."

Princeton economics and international affairs professor Paul Krugman listens during his introduction as the 2008 Nobel prize winner in economics at a new conference on the campus of Princeton University in Princeton, New Jersey, October 13, 2008

He said a rise in the unemployment rate to 7 percent "seems almost certain" and he put the odds of an increase to 8 percent at "better than even," according to the report.

    Krugman, an ardent critic of the administration of U.S. President George W. Bush and its domestic and foreign policies, won the 2008 Nobel Prize in Economics "for his analysis of trade patterns and location of economic activity."

    His approach is based on the premise that many goods and services can be produced at less cost in long series, a concept known as economies of scale.